Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.7K
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.7K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,687 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $85 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $242 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $242 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $155 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $155 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $129 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $129 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $191 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $191 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,980 |