Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,912·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
97%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$584
Smart money entered43¢99¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,912
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 43¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$584 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $57 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 4.3¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 4.2¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 4.2¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $81 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $81 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 21¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 57¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 66¢ | $45 |