Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,700
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.4K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,700 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $127 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $127 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $349 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $349 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $122 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $67 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $122 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $67 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 26¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 38¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 58¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 39¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 33¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $21 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 25¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 27¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 29¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $1 |