Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.5K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$6,868
72h +$6,868
Smart money entered59¢100¢at 02:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy17h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.5K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$6,868, +$6,868 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $990 |
| 17h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $990 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $14 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $365 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 63¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $14 |
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 61¢ | $365 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 63¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $93 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 64¢ | $93 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $104 |
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $369 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $11 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 44¢ | $104 |
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $369 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $141 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $6 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $25 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $123 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $25 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 17h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $123 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $141 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $5 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $6 |
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $91 |
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $91 |
| 17h ago | adururuMid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $161 |