Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,285
72h +$1,285
Smart money entered59¢100¢at 02:05(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy17h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 59¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,285, +$1,285 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $436 |
| 17h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $436 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 17h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 17h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $18 |
| 17h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $18 |
| 17h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $27 |
| 17h ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $27 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $22 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $22 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $8 |
| 17h ago | BossgirlTop | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $7 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |
| 17h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 33¢ | $2 |