Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,886·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,456
Smart money entered60¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,886
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,456 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $62 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 10¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $91 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 65¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $84 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $13 |