Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,849·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
9
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,433
Smart money entered90¢99¢at 05:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,849
Explanation
9 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 90¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,433 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,078 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $851 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $693 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $851 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | ply-pm4Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | izzyaussieMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 75¢ | $51 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $103 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $47 |
| 2d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | Patron7777Mid | Buy | Up | 49¢ | $518 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 50¢ | $3 |