Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,856·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$9,311
Smart money entered98¢99¢at 04:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,856
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$9,311 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $73 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $268 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $209 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $209 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $268 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $80 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $80 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $49 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,346 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,346 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,900 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $45 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |