Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
88%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$966 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,040
72h +$2,040
Smart money entered41¢0.0¢at 02:05Edge leftnoneLast smart buy18h agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $966 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $966 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,040, +$2,040 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:05
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $26 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $26 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $12 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $12 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $4 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $55 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $127 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $127 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $30 |
| 18h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $30 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $88 |
| 18h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $347 |
| 18h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $347 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $88 |
| 18h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $13 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $13 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $5 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $11 |
| 18h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $31 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $11 |
| 18h ago | 0xd33d0d185cd215162c86cb481cd01acdc7d28489Mid | Buy | Down | 12¢ | $31 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |
| 18h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |