Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
52%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$1,550 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$1,624
Smart money entered41¢0.0¢at 05:08Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$0
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are narrowly leaning toward betting on "Down", with $1,550 riding on it.
The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 41¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $1,550 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$1,624 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,618 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,618 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |