Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.4K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,477
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 04:30Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,477 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:30
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $115 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $115 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $558 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $110 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $702 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $110 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $702 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $558 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 2.8¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $97 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 2.8¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $224 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $196 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Sell | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $196 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $224 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $227 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $423 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $945 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $423 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |