Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,853·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$290
Smart money entered36¢100¢at 04:27Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,853
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 36¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$290 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:27
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $50 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $64 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 87¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 88¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 27¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 24¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 73¢ | $44 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 70¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | viniangussoTop | Buy | Up | 30¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 84¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 18¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $8 |