Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,722·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$8,624
Smart money entered85¢100¢at 04:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,722
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$8,624 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $60 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,993 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,993 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Up | 7.0¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $93 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 24¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 83¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 79¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $36 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 62¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 80¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 77¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 52¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 52¢ | $8 |