Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,804·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,431
Smart money entered82¢100¢at 05:09(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,804
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 82¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,431 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:09
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $699 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $44 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $246 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $38 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $44 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $83 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | 0x8e77…25f8Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $199 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $35 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,482 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,482 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |