Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,870·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
60%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,635
Smart money entered93¢99¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,870
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,635 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $75 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $364 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | 0x4ed4…9876Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,940 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $146 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $65 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $1,039 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $19 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 70¢ | $71 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 56¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $58 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $55 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 52¢ | $27 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $29 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 58¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 60¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 67¢ | $1 |