Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,216·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
59%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
7
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$14.2K
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$9,216
Explanation
7 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$14.2K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $20 |
| 2d ago | cccyunMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $129 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $209 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,970 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $209 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,970 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,485 |
| 2d ago | cccyunMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $129 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x9587…c10aTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $112 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $23 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $2,226 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $823 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | cccyunMid | Buy | Up | 6.4¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | cccyunMid | Buy | Up | 6.4¢ | $119 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 12¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 17¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |