Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$2,049
Smart money entered93¢99¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 93¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$2,049 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $37 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $246 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $246 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $32 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $91 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $91 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $28 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $82 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $26 |