Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.1K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$23.7K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 05:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$11.1K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$23.7K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,094 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $412 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,094 |
| 2d ago | 0x7cb2…e655Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $500 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $412 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $2,498 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $448 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Up | 100¢ | $448 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $70 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $359 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $359 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $59 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $24 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $248 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $248 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2,249 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 19¢ | $1 |