Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,956·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
8
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$11.0K
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,956
Explanation
8 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$11.0K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $353 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $353 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $33 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $14 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,335 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $74 |
| 2d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,335 |
| 2d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,041 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3,041 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $96 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 13¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $34 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $128 |
| 2d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $52 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $130 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $13 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 26¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 72¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 70¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $100 |
| 2d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 25¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 47¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Up | 54¢ | $26 |