Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,855·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$17.6K
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 05:11Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,855
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$17.6K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $93 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $93 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $12 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $12 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3,709 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $210 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $210 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $3,709 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,374 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,374 |
| 3d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $270 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $145 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $136 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $391 |
| 3d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $54 |
| 3d ago | 0x00b1…62beMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $45 |
| 3d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $136 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $391 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $145 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $105 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,850 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $21 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1,850 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $21 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $95 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $98 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $95 |
| 3d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 95¢ | $33 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $34 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $34 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $7 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $22 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $75 |