Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,825·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$9,221
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,825
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$9,221 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $189 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $189 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $999 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $849 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $849 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $659 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Sell | Down | 100¢ | $659 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $31 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $31 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $88 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $407 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $88 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $407 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $49 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $49 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $495 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $13 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,172 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $2,172 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $11 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 2.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 4.0¢ | $0 |