Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,738·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$7,190
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 05:10(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,738
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$7,190 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:10
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $355 |
| 3d ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $60 |
| 3d ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $98 |
| 3d ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $147 |
| 3d ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $147 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $355 |
| 3d ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $60 |
| 3d ago | VortexTradingMid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $98 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $999 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,449 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,449 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $202 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $202 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 98¢ | $309 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | allin69Mid | Buy | Up | 66¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $159 |
| 3d ago | 0xe956…d21cMid | Buy | Down | 51¢ | $5 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $159 |