Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.3K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up1%Down99%
Smart money leans
Down
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$4,090
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 04:28(64% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$10.3K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 64% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$4,090 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $389 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $8 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $389 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $16 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $3 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $6 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $10 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $15 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $17 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $111 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $92 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $99 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $997 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $184 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $997 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $184 |
| 2d ago | THG.Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $4 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $2 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 5.0¢ | $0 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $9 |
| 2d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 85¢ | $4 |