TailSlip
Log in

Command Palette

Search for a command to run...

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
62%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$150 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$267
Smart money entered11¢0.0¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are somewhat betting on "Down", with $150 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 11¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $150 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$267 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown1.0¢$7
3d ago0x00b1…62beMidSellUp99¢$99
3d ago0x720b…d2cdMidBuyDown1.0¢$7
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$10
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$4
3d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp90¢$91
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$14
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$5
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$11
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp93¢$28
3d ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp94¢$94
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$10
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$26
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp86¢$48
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$6
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$9
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$1
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$8
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$26
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$12
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp86¢$38
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$17
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp85¢$9
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp59¢$20
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp62¢$64
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown85¢$11
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown83¢$9
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown82¢$8
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown78¢$8
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown78¢$20
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown78¢$23
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown78¢$9
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown63¢$29
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown63¢$2
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown63¢$19
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown63¢$3
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown63¢$10
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$2
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$0
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$1
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp21¢$6
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp21¢$5
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp18¢$2
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp21¢$21
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp23¢$3
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown74¢$12
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown69¢$9
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown74¢$7
3d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown75¢$4
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown55¢$28