Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,951·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$28
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$8,951
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$28 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $43 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $43 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $9 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $97 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 99¢ | $97 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $2 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $10 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $51 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $51 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $132 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0x720b…d2cdMid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $6 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $4 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 3d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $63 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 4.0¢ | $1 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $87 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Sell | Up | 89¢ | $87 |
| 3d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 84¢ | $30 |
| 3d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | OhioAIMid | Buy | Down | 53¢ | $8 |
| 3d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $16 |
| 3d ago | 0x91b6…4b40Mid | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $52 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $100 |
| 3d ago | 0xac05…e6c8Mid | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $100 |