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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:01computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$360
Smart money entered68¢0.0¢at 04:01Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 68¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$360 on this position.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:01
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d ago0x00b1…62beMidBuyUp99¢$99
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp75¢$8
3d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp69¢$25
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp67¢$21
3d agoviniangussoTopBuyDown30¢$2
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp68¢$22
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp59¢$4
3d agoviniangussoTopBuyUp58¢$3
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp68¢$22
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp70¢$32
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp70¢$32
3d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyDown39¢$5
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp53¢$40
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp53¢$40
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp53¢$8
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp39¢$17
3d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown42¢$15
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown43¢$18
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown25¢$5
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown25¢$5
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown24¢$11
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyDown24¢$11
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp70¢$25
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown47¢$19
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp47¢$17