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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Polymarket
ActiveLiquidity $0·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up—Down—

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 04:29computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
0% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
0%price0%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$400 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h $0
Smart money entered51¢0.0¢at 04:29Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$0
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Not enough history yet
Explanation

1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $400 riding on it.

The price of 0% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 51¢; the price was 0.0¢ at this snapshot.

Note: only $400 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Delayed 1h · as of 04:29
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$6
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$6
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$10
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$10
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$5
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$3
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$206
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$206
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$2
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$24
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$20
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$24
3d agoTHG.MidBuyDown99¢$20
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp1.0¢$1
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp2.0¢$0
3d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp1.0¢$1
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp3.0¢$1
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp1.0¢$1
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown84¢$126
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown84¢$126
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp16¢$7
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown78¢$5
3d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp22¢$8
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown62¢$9
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown62¢$0
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown62¢$8
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown62¢$8
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown62¢$7
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown62¢$2
3d ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyUp25¢$1
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp2.6¢$25
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown70¢$0
3d agoOhioAIMidBuyUp2.6¢$25
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown70¢$14
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown70¢$14
3d agoNIULAI4MidBuyDown70¢$4
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,594
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$5
3d agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown99¢$2,594
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown89¢$13
3d ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown81¢$29
3d agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp45¢$19
3d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyUp46¢$104
3d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyUp50¢$104
3d ago0x91b6…4b40MidBuyUp51¢$103