Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,392·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$711 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,216
72h +$1,216
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 06:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$8,392
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $711 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,216, +$1,216 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:56