Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,385·Volume $20·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$1,268 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,523
72h +$2,523
Smart money entered88¢100¢at 06:56(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$8,385
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $1,268 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 88¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,523, +$2,523 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:56