Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,934·Volume $0·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart-money signal
What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 06:56Smart money exiting · $1,227 sold 24hcomputed 1h agoSmart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
-0.1pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$318
72h +$318
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 06:56Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$9,934
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot.
Warning: wallets that backed "Down" are now net selling it — followers usually exit when the wallets they follow do.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$318, +$318 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:56