Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,513·Volume $16·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,635 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,740
72h +$2,740
Smart money entered91¢99¢at 05:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$8,513
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $1,635 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 91¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,635 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,740, +$2,740 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:51