Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $8,257·Volume $4·Ends Nov 15, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$315
72h +$315
Smart money entered76¢100¢at 05:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy4h agoResolvesended(Nov 15, 2026)Liquidity$8,257
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 76¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$315, +$315 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:51