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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

ActiveLiquidity $9,513·Volume $2·Ends Nov 14, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 02:00computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,494
72h +$5,494
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 02:00(76% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 14, 2026)Liquidity$9,513
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 76% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,494, +$5,494 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
3h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1,997
3h ago0x50f7MidBuyUp100¢$1,997
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$101
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$979
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$119
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyUp100¢$119
3h ago0xbe53…1707MidBuyUp99¢$149
3h ago0x485d…1fe5MidBuyDown1.0¢$1
3h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$16
3h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyUp96¢$16
3h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp65¢$7
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown49¢$7
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown49¢$7
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyUp52¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyUp52¢$3
3h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown48¢$12
3h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyDown48¢$12
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown48¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown51¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyUp50¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown51¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown51¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyUp48¢$2
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyUp48¢$2
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown55¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown55¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown52¢$3
3h agoply-pm4MidBuyDown51¢$3