Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $9,279·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,728
72h +$1,728
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 02:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy5h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$9,279
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,728, +$1,728 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 02:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $884 |
| 5h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $124 |
| 5h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $615 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $25 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $24 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 5.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 23¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 23¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 22¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 15¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 16¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 13¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 14¢ | $0 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 8.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $2 |
| 5h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 39¢ | $2 |