Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$5,514
72h +$5,514
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy6h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$11.6K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$5,514, +$5,514 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $43 |
| 6h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 6h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,998 |
| 6h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $710 |
| 6h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $710 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $5 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $8 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $20 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 18¢ | $1 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 81¢ | $4 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $6 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 48¢ | $2 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $10 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 51¢ | $3 |
| 6h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 32¢ | $5 |