Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.2K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,416
72h +$7,416
Smart money entered98¢100¢at 00:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy7h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 98¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,416, +$7,416 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 00:52
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $6,002 |
| 7h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,194 |
| 7h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $5 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 78¢ | $16 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $2 |
| 7h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 40¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 41¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Down | 42¢ | $10 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 55¢ | $19 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 39¢ | $9 |
| 7h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 39¢ | $9 |