Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.1pp
model above price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$1,923
72h +$1,923
Smart money entered99¢99¢at 17:58(0% priced in)Edge left+0.1ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.9K
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 0% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$1,923, +$1,923 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 17:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $396 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $396 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $495 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $933 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $933 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $198 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 49¢ | $2 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 52¢ | $3 |
| 1h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 52¢ | $3 |