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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

ActiveLiquidity $13.1K·Volume $15·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 16:59computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
55% at snapshot
Divergence
+0.5pp
model above price
Consensus
79%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
55%price55%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$220 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$290
72h +$290
Smart money entered54¢55¢at 16:59(18% priced in)Edge left+0.5ppLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.1K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are strongly betting on "Down", with $220 riding on it.

The price of 55% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 54¢; the price was 55¢ at this snapshot — roughly 18% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Note: only $220 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$290, +$290 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 16:59
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
1h agoNIULAI4MidBuyUp72¢$4
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown70¢$18
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown66¢$3
1h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown66¢$3
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp53¢$19
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown43¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown43¢$10
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown59¢$21
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown41¢$1
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown41¢$11
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown41¢$2
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown43¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown43¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown46¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown46¢$10
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyDown54¢$3
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown62¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown61¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown62¢$10
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp46¢$2
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp30¢$11
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp30¢$11
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown58¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown61¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown58¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown61¢$10
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp25¢$1
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp25¢$1
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown66¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown66¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown66¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown66¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown61¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown61¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown61¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown61¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown63¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown63¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown63¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown63¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown62¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown59¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown62¢$10
1h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyDown59¢$10
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp33¢$12
1h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp33¢$12
1h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp34¢$2