Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.0K·Volume $9·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
2
$1,199 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,151
72h +$2,151
Smart money entered99¢100¢at 16:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.0K
Explanation
2 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $1,199 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 99¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $1,199 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,151, +$2,151 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $1,199 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $823 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $823 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $59 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $59 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2h ago | 0x5a6f…0e13Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $98 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 29¢ | $22 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 38¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 43¢ | $0 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 43¢ | $0 |