Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.6K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$2,460
72h +$2,460
Smart money entered97¢100¢at 16:58(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.6K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 97¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$2,460, +$2,460 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 16:58
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,115 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $29 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $27 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0x485d…1fe5Mid | Buy | Up | 1.0¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 21¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 75¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 71¢ | $4 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $74 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 67¢ | $74 |