Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $12·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$134 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$365
72h +$365
Smart money entered96¢100¢at 15:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $134 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 96¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $134 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$365, +$365 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $125 |
| 2h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $125 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 98¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 96¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 60¢ | $18 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 44¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $25 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 41¢ | $2 |