Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $13.8K·Volume $8·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$610
72h +$610
Smart money entered85¢100¢at 15:00(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$13.8K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 85¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$610, +$610 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 92¢ | $14 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $24 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $8 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $11 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 90¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 94¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 95¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $13 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $10 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $13 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $6 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $7 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $15 |
| 2h ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Up | 93¢ | $5 |