Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.4K·Volume $8·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,819
72h +$7,819
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 15:00(93% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.4K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 93% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,819, +$7,819 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,146 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $2,146 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $9 |
| 2h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $9 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,017 |
| 3h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $689 |
| 3h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $689 |
| 3h ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $1,017 |
| 3h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Down | 100¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 97¢ | $24 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $23 |
| 3h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 90¢ | $23 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 8.0¢ | $5 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 10¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 10¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 15¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 16¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 35¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 36¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0x844f…6fccMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $10 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Up | 40¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $2 |
| 3h ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 46¢ | $2 |