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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

ActiveLiquidity $12.4K·Volume $8·Ends Nov 13, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%

Smart-money signal

What is this?Delayed 1h · as of 15:00computed 1h ago
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$7,819
72h +$7,819
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 15:00(93% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 13, 2026)Liquidity$12.4K
Model estimate vs market price — 7 days
Explanation

4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.

The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.

On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 93% of their entry edge is already priced in.

Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$7,819, +$7,819 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.

Delayed 1h · as of 15:00
TimeWalletSideOutcomePriceAmount
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2,146
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$2,146
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$9
2h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$9
3h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1,017
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$689
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$689
3h ago0x50f7MidBuyDown100¢$1,017
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$10
3h ago0x440b…6570MidBuyDown100¢$10
3h ago0xebb2…63edMidBuyDown97¢$24
3h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown90¢$23
3h agoBoneOhioTopBuyDown90¢$23
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp8.0¢$5
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp8.0¢$5
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp10¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp10¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp14¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp15¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp16¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp16¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp16¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp16¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp35¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp35¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp36¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp36¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp37¢$10
3h ago0x844f…6fccMidBuyUp37¢$10
3h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp40¢$2
3h ago0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530TopBuyUp40¢$2
3h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp46¢$2
3h agoAnon-0xCEMidBuyUp46¢$2