Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $11.6K·Volume $2·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
80% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
80%price80%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$75 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$241
72h +$241
Smart money entered47¢80¢at 10:52(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$11.6K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $75 riding on it.
The price of 80% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 47¢; the price was 80¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $75 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$241, +$241 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:52