Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.2K·Volume $20·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
4
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$443
72h +$443
Smart money entered60¢100¢at 10:51(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy3h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$10.2K
Explanation
4 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 60¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$443, +$443 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 10:51