Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.8K·Volume $20·Ends Nov 12, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
98% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
98%price98%model est.*
Smart wallets
6
$163 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$234
72h +$234
Smart money entered80¢98¢at 06:54(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1h agoResolvesended(Nov 12, 2026)Liquidity$10.8K
Explanation
6 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $163 riding on it.
The price of 98% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 80¢; the price was 98¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $163 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$234, +$234 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 06:54