Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $10.9K·Volume $22·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up99%Down1%
Smart money leans
Up
99% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
99%price99%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
+$529
72h +$529
Smart money entered29¢99¢at 12:11(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2h agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$10.9K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 99% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 29¢; the price was 99¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $0 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
Over the last 24 hours, these wallets have been adding to this position (+$529, +$529 over 3 days) — a sign conviction is building.
Delayed 1h · as of 12:11
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 91¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 78¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 85¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 76¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Up | 69¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 45¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | AtomforgeMid | Buy | Down | 56¢ | $5 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Up | 47¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Up | 34¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Up | 37¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 39¢ | $39 |
| 2h ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Up | 50¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Up | 53¢ | $3 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | RLWGMid | Buy | Up | 43¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $38 |
| 2h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $2 |
| 2h ago | 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710Mid | Buy | Up | 14¢ | $1 |
| 2h ago | 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518Mid | Buy | Up | 48¢ | $30 |