Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 11, 2026
Price now:Up100%Down0%
Smart money leans
Up
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
3
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$5,113
Smart money entered100¢100¢at 04:28(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesended(Nov 11, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
3 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Up", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 100¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$5,113 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 04:28
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $3,023 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $20 |
| 1d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $522 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $519 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $180 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $519 |
| 1d ago | 0x440b…6570Mid | Buy | Up | 100¢ | $180 |
| 1d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 2.1¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 3.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 1.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 7.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 9.0¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | N0wh3r3T0YEETT0n1ghtTop | Buy | Down | 10¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 11¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 98¢ | $25 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 97¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Up | 96¢ | $24 |
| 1d ago | 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530Top | Buy | Down | 6.0¢ | $0 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 74¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 30¢ | $11 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 34¢ | $12 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Down | 28¢ | $1 |
| 1d ago | Anon-0xCEMid | Buy | Up | 68¢ | $17 |