Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
ActiveLiquidity $12.9K·Volume $0·Ends Nov 10, 2026
Price now:Up0%Down100%
Smart money leans
Down
100% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Model estimate (unvalidated)
100%price100%model est.*
Smart wallets
5
$0 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$17.1K
Smart money entered69¢100¢at 05:08(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy2d agoResolvesended(Nov 10, 2026)Liquidity$12.9K
Explanation
5 wallets with a track record of profitable trading are overwhelmingly betting on "Down", with $0 riding on it.
The price of 100% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 69¢; the price was 100¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$17.1K on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:08
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $12 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $5 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $320 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $18 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $320 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $343 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $359 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $405 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $343 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $359 |
| 2d ago | 0xebb2…63edMid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $7 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $343 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $359 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $405 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $343 |
| 2d ago | 0x50f7Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $359 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $303 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $151 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $457 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $378 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $30 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $303 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $151 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $457 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $378 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $1 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $126 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $40 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | NIULAI4Mid | Buy | Down | 94¢ | $26 |
| 2d ago | 0xbe53…1707Mid | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $22 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |
| 2d ago | BoneOhioTop | Buy | Down | 99¢ | $149 |