Will Brock Purdy have 4,299.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?
ActiveLiquidity $73·Volume $916·Ends Jan 27, 2027
Price now:Yes40%No61%
Smart money leans
Yes
40% at snapshot
Divergence
0.0pp
model below price
Consensus
100%
Low stake
Model estimate (unvalidated)
40%price40%model est.*
Smart wallets
1
$518 at stake
Net flow 24h / 72h
$0
72h +$556
Smart money entered37¢40¢at 05:19(100% priced in)Edge leftnoneLast smart buy1d agoResolvesin 75d(Jan 27, 2027)Liquidity$73
Explanation
1 wallet with a track record of profitable trading is overwhelmingly betting on "Yes", with $518 riding on it.
The price of 40% at this snapshot already lines up with the model's read of these wallets' bets — there's not much of an edge left here.
On average they got in at 37¢; the price was 40¢ at this snapshot — roughly 100% of their entry edge is already priced in.
Note: only $518 of qualifying stake backs this signal, so treat it with caution.
No fresh moves in the last day, but over the past 3 days these wallets have added +$556 on this position.
Delayed 1h · as of 05:19
| Time | Wallet | Side | Outcome | Price | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 42¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Sell | Yes | 42¢ | $4 |
| 1d ago | 0xf9f2…5cbaTop | Buy | Yes | 37¢ | $541 |